What fun – a sentence applicable both to NMR and the human experience:
“Confidence is a feeling, which reflects the coherence of the information and the cognitive ease of processing it.” (p. 212 in “Thinking, Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman, 2011)
In other words, “even a Nobel laureate in economics” knows that we experience a feeling of confidence when we get a signal (coherence) that is easy to interpret.
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Unfortunately, as he reminds us, Nature is often reluctant to reveal her secrets: “Declarations of high confidence mainly tell you that an individual has constructed a coherent story in his mind, not necessarily that the story is true”
. . . so verify, validate, and make sure you don’t get fooled into thinking that “what you see is all there is.”
Thank you Prof. Kahneman!
nmr trails 